Is "An AI system that predicts stock market movements by analyzing CEO facial expressions in earnings calls using computer vision. The more nervous the CEO looks, the higher the short probability. Hedge funds pay $50K/month for the signal." a good business idea?
The Idea
"An AI system that predicts stock market movements by analyzing CEO facial expressions in earnings calls using computer vision. The more nervous the CEO looks, the higher the short probability. Hedge funds pay $50K/month for the signal."
Roasted by
27
/100
TERRIBLE
Verdict
Hedge funds tried this. It didn't work. They had more GPUs than you.
Hedge Funds Already Tried This
Alternative data vendors have been selling "CEO stress analysis" since 2017. The signal decays fast, the false positive rate is brutal, and Medallion doesn't use it.
CEOs Are Trained to Look Calm
Every Fortune 500 CEO has a media coach. You are analyzing performance, not truth. Your model is training on theater.
The SEC Is Going to Find This Interesting
Trading signals derived from non-public biometric analysis of executives sits in a regulatory gray zone that you are not equipped to navigate.
Hall of Shame
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